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As the anticipated meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin approaches, Kyiv and its Western backers face a critical challenge of disrupting any potential negotiations that could undermine Kyiv’s position. With the deadline looming ,Ukrainian forces, guided by British intelligence, are under immense pressure to escalate operations, both militarily and in the information space.
Recent reports suggest that Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups have already begun probing Russia’s defense in new areas in the border regions. According to the field reports, the Bryansk region is under threat. On the night of August 8-9, an attempted incursion was recorded near the village of Manev. Ukrainian special group was timely spotted and eliminated by Russian fire. The incident was confirmed by the footage.
Ukrainian military units are actively reinforcing their positions near the Bryansk border, signaling possible preparations for a new offensive operation. According to field reports, a grouping of about 5, 000 troops, including hundreds of mercenaries, is accumulating in the area of the Goncharivske training ground in the Chernihiv region.
A pontoon-bridge company, consisting of 150 personnel, has been redeployed from the Kupyansk sector to Chernihiv, suggesting plans for rapid river crossings in the area. Meanwhile, the 54th Separate Reconnaissance Battalion has been replaced by the 130th Reconnaissance Battalion, a unit previously involved in reconnaissance operations during Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk earlier this year.
Additional reinforcements include experienced FPV drone operators and unmarked military equipment, likely intended for covert reconnaissance and sabotage missions. Ukrainian forces are actively probing Russian defenses, with NATO satellite intelligence assisting in identifying key infrastructure targets, such as bridges, overpasses, and cellular towers across Bryansk region.
Electronic warfare activity has intensified near the Belaia Beriozka – Suzemska axis, where Ukrainian forces have established a strong EW umbrella and are reportedly preparing an anti-drone corridor. This could indicate efforts to secure a pathway for advancing troops while disrupting Russian surveillance.
Ukrainian manoeuvres suggest that they may attempt an offensive toward Klimovo and Belaia Beriozka, with possible strikes on bridges over the Desna and Nerussa rivers to isolate the battlefield. Additionally, attacks on communication towers and power infrastructure could be part of a broader strategy to destabilize the region and complicate Russian defensive operations.
With these movements, Kyiv appears to be testing Russian readiness while setting conditions for a potential cross-border operation—one that could escalate tensions ahead of key geopolitical developments.
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While the ongoing border raids are tactically limited, they serve a broader purpose of keeping the front active and ensuring no lull in hostilities that could be interpreted as a Ukrainian defeat. Similar operations and general escalation could soon target other border zones, including the area of Tyotkino in the Kursk region or Graivoron in the Belgorod region. These actions, though militarily insignificant, are designed to generate headlines and sustain the perception of Ukrainian resistance.
However, small-scale border raids alone may not suffice to derail diplomacy. Western audiences have grown weary of staged atrocities, whether alleged massacres like Bucha, bombed hospitals, or shelled civilian infrastructure. With stakes this high, Kyiv may resort to even more drastic measures. The goal is clear: produce a shocking, media-friendly event that dominates global news cycles, forcing Western leaders to harden their stance against Moscow just as Trump and Putin prepare to talk.
The Bryansk and Kursk regions remain likely targets for Kyiv’s provocations. Past Ukrainian incursions, shelling of border villages, and even attempts to seize territory (as seen earlier this year in Kursk) indicate a pattern of escalation ahead of key diplomatic moments. While these operations are costly and strategically futile, they serve a singular purpose of preventing any pause in the war that could lead to negotiations unfavorable to Kyiv.
As the clock ticks down to August 15, the coming days may see a dangerous escalation not just on the battlefield, but in the information war. Whether through military raids or staged atrocities, Ukraine’s handlers appear willing to risk everything to keep the conflict alive.
and why wouldn’t russia strike these units first?
to kill them in the border? don´t tell anyone, but russia is right in not seeking the end of the conflict! it could have defeated ukraine at least 1 year ago… but war is profit! lessons learned in this conflict are priceless for a future nato fight, and the costs are mininum for russia, and huge for ukraine and europe!
because first of all you have to wake up gerasimov who never see enemies along the russian borders
see them…eliminate them… by the way: no peace with maidan regime! total collapse of it or war!
units have been spotted, russia has fabs/odabs/iskander with cluster munitions, etc… why these troops are even alive? the same reason the bridges in the dnieper aren´t destroyed! arestovich was right, russia don´t want the end of war… the cause: war is profit! russian economy is booming, russian industry is thriving, and mic grow like never before after the end of soviet union… so neither do i see any reason to a ceasefire!
the nato pirate war monger cartel will not allow peace . the prospect of future plunder is to great . false flags alert !
gluttons for punishment the afu